Last updated March 27, 2024
See results from the Vermont Democratic presidential primary›
Winner
Nikki Haley wins the Vermont Republican primary.
Race called by The Associated Press.
Latest results from March 27
>95% of votes in
Republican Primary race called
| Candidate | Votes | Percent Pct.% | Chart showing percent | Delegates Delegates Del. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley | 36,241 | +50.2% 50.2% | 9 | |
| Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump | 33,162 | +45.9% 45.9% | 8 | |
| Chris ChristieC. ChristieChristie | 1,020 | +1.4% 1.4% | No delegates— | |
| Total reported | 72,196 | |||
100% of delegates allocated (17 of 17) | ||||
New update
Analysis from our reporters
Haley has won Vermont, the first state (in addition to Washington, D.C.) where she has defeated Trump this primary season. March 5, 2024
In an analysis based on 50% of Vermont towns, Haley’s greatest support has come from those with high shares of college-educated voters. March 5, 2024
Our estimates now give Haley an almost certain chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO CHART ↓
We’ve published new estimates that show Haley’s chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
A candidate’s margin in the reported results tends to swing as different areas release votes. But our estimates still show a tight race in Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
Our estimates show a very close race between Trump and Haley in Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
New update
Analysis from our reporters
Haley has won Vermont, the first state (in addition to Washington, D.C.) where she has defeated Trump this primary season. March 5, 2024
In an analysis based on 50% of Vermont towns, Haley’s greatest support has come from those with high shares of college-educated voters. March 5, 2024
Our estimates now give Haley an almost certain chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO CHART ↓
We’ve published new estimates that show Haley’s chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
A candidate’s margin in the reported results tends to swing as different areas release votes. But our estimates still show a tight race in Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
Our estimates show a very close race between Trump and Haley in Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
New update
Analysis from our reporters
Haley has won Vermont, the first state (in addition to Washington, D.C.) where she has defeated Trump this primary season. March 5, 2024
In an analysis based on 50% of Vermont towns, Haley’s greatest support has come from those with high shares of college-educated voters. March 5, 2024
Our estimates now give Haley an almost certain chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO CHART ↓
We’ve published new estimates that show Haley’s chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
A candidate’s margin in the reported results tends to swing as different areas release votes. But our estimates still show a tight race in Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
Our estimates show a very close race between Trump and Haley in Vermont. March 5, 2024
JUMP TO FORECAST ↓
Where votes have been reported and where votes remain
These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the vote reported so far, and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each place.
Votes reported
leader
Haley
Trump
Circle size is proportional to the amount each town’s leading candidate is ahead.
Estimated votes remaining
We stopped updating our estimates. This map is now archived.
leader
Haley
Trump
Circle size is proportional to the amount each town’s leading candidate is ahead.
| Town | Haley | Trump | Christie | Total votes | Percent of votes in % In | Estimated remaining votes Est. remain. votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol | 46% | 50% | 2% | 427 | 82% | <100 |
| Burlington | 70% | 26% | 2% | 2,164 | >95% | <100 |
| South Burlington | 70% | 26% | 2% | 1,965 | >95% | <100 |
| Milton | 40% | 56% | 1% | 1,834 | >95% | <100 |
| Rutland City | 39% | 57% | 2% | 1,827 | >95% | <100 |
| Colchester | 55% | 42% | 2% | 1,783 | >95% | <100 |
| Williston | 66% | 31% | 2% | 1,476 | >95% | <100 |
| Barre Town | 41% | 54% | 2% | 1,242 | >95% | <100 |
| Essex Town | 61% | 36% | 1% | 1,229 | >95% | <100 |
| Bennington | 38% | 56% | 2% | 1,155 | >95% | <100 |
| Shelburne | 74% | 22% | 2% | 1,081 | >95% | <100 |
| Hartford | 56% | 41% | 1% | 987 | >95% | <100 |
| St. Albans Town | 47% | 49% | 1% | 954 | >95% | <100 |
| Springfield | 37% | 60% | 1% | 908 | >95% | <100 |
| Fairfax | 44% | 51% | 1% | 870 | >95% | <100 |
| Essex Junction City | 64% | 33% | 1% | 807 | >95% | <100 |
| Georgia | 46% | 51% | 1% | 799 | >95% | <100 |
| Rutland Town | 47% | 49% | 1% | 774 | >95% | <100 |
| St. Johnsbury | 45% | 51% | 2% | 691 | >95% | <100 |
| Barre City | 43% | 54% | 1% | 677 | >95% | <100 |
| Jericho | 60% | 37% | 1% | 648 | >95% | <100 |
| Middlebury | 66% | 30% | 1% | 645 | >95% | <100 |
| Hinesburg | 61% | 36% | 2% | 635 | >95% | <100 |
| Castleton | 36% | 61% | 1% | 629 | >95% | <100 |
| Waterbury | 66% | 28% | 3% | 629 | >95% | <100 |
| Brandon | 37% | 58% | 1% | 607 | >95% | <100 |
| Stowe | 71% | 26% | 2% | 596 | >95% | <100 |
| Brattleboro | 59% | 37% | 2% | 584 | >95% | <100 |
| Derby | 37% | 60% | 1% | 567 | >95% | <100 |
| Northfield | 49% | 44% | 3% | 554 | >95% | <100 |
| Charlotte | 67% | 30% | 1% | 534 | >95% | <100 |
| Shaftsbury | 45% | 51% | 2% | 520 | >95% | <100 |
| Manchester | 56% | 39% | 2% | 519 | >95% | <100 |
| Lyndon | 40% | 56% | 1% | 501 | >95% | <100 |
| St. Albans City | 51% | 45% | 2% | 500 | >95% | <100 |
| Randolph | 52% | 43% | 3% | 479 | >95% | <100 |
| Williamstown | 36% | 60% | 1% | 478 | >95% | <100 |
| Ferrisburgh | 55% | 42% | 1% | 473 | >95% | <100 |
| Highgate | 28% | 69% | 1% | 472 | >95% | <100 |
| Underhill | 66% | 31% | 1% | 468 | >95% | <100 |
| Pittsford | 36% | 59% | 1% | 463 | >95% | <100 |
| Morristown | 60% | 37% | <1% | 459 | >95% | <100 |
| Hartland | 53% | 44% | 1% | 445 | >95% | <100 |
| Clarendon | 30% | 68% | 1% | 427 | >95% | <100 |
| Newport City | 37% | 58% | 1% | 425 | >95% | <100 |
| Poultney | 37% | 58% | 2% | 418 | >95% | <100 |
| Chester | 47% | 50% | 1% | 415 | >95% | <100 |
| Weathersfield | 42% | 55% | 1% | 404 | >95% | <100 |
| Grand Isle | 51% | 46% | 1% | 400 | >95% | <100 |
| Winooski | 59% | 36% | 2% | 387 | >95% | <100 |
| Rockingham | 49% | 48% | 2% | 381 | >95% | <100 |
| Cambridge | 60% | 36% | 2% | 370 | >95% | <100 |
| Fair Haven | 32% | 62% | 2% | 364 | >95% | <100 |
| Arlington | 49% | 47% | 2% | 349 | >95% | <100 |
| Wallingford | 34% | 63% | 1% | 347 | >95% | <100 |
| Berlin | 49% | 46% | 2% | 340 | >95% | <100 |
| Ludlow | 47% | 48% | 2% | 334 | >95% | <100 |
| Alburgh | 39% | 59% | <1% | 332 | >95% | <100 |
| New Haven | 51% | 45% | 2% | 330 | >95% | <100 |
| Windsor | 50% | 46% | 1% | 328 | >95% | <100 |
| Thetford | 67% | 30% | 1% | 324 | >95% | <100 |
| Addison | 43% | 49% | 1% | 322 | >95% | <100 |
| Hyde Park | 47% | 51% | 1% | 321 | >95% | <100 |
| Pownal | 27% | 69% | 2% | 318 | >95% | <100 |
| Mount Holly | 30% | 66% | 1% | 310 | >95% | <100 |
| West Rutland | 30% | 67% | 0% | 309 | >95% | <100 |
| Monkton | 46% | 46% | 4% | 304 | >95% | <100 |
| Hardwick | 43% | 52% | 3% | 303 | >95% | <100 |
| Norwich | 78% | 18% | 2% | 302 | >95% | <100 |
| Chittenden | 49% | 48% | 1% | 295 | >95% | <100 |
| Vernon | 43% | 52% | 1% | 286 | >95% | <100 |
| Danville | 55% | 42% | 1% | 284 | >95% | <100 |
| Vergennes | 50% | 47% | 1% | 284 | >95% | <100 |
| Bradford | 46% | 51% | 1% | 268 | >95% | <100 |
| Cabot | 41% | 52% | 2% | 265 | >95% | <100 |
| Mendon | 52% | 45% | 2% | 263 | >95% | <100 |
| Dorset | 63% | 34% | 2% | 262 | >95% | <100 |
| Johnson | 53% | 42% | 1% | 255 | >95% | <100 |
| Orwell | 48% | 48% | 3% | 255 | >95% | <100 |
| Westford | 65% | 33% | <1% | 253 | >95% | <100 |
| Richford | 31% | 65% | 2% | 238 | >95% | <100 |
| Wilmington | 44% | 47% | 5% | 232 | >95% | <100 |
| Royalton | 52% | 44% | 2% | 230 | >95% | <100 |
| North Hero | 53% | 43% | 2% | 229 | >95% | <100 |
| East Montpelier | 68% | 26% | 3% | 227 | >95% | <100 |
| Enosburgh | 43% | 54% | 1% | 227 | >95% | <100 |
| Huntington | 61% | 35% | 1% | 223 | >95% | <100 |
| Fairfield | 45% | 54% | 0% | 222 | >95% | <100 |
| Burke | 41% | 56% | 2% | 221 | >95% | <100 |
| Westminster | 43% | 51% | 2% | 220 | >95% | <100 |
| Benson | 31% | 64% | 1% | 217 | >95% | <100 |
| Bridport | 47% | 50% | <1% | 215 | >95% | <100 |
| Pawlet | 43% | 55% | 0% | 215 | >95% | <100 |
| Starksboro | 47% | 51% | 1% | 215 | >95% | <100 |
| Brighton | 27% | 70% | <1% | 214 | >95% | <100 |
| Sheldon | 40% | 58% | 0% | 214 | >95% | <100 |
| Berkshire | 36% | 62% | <1% | 212 | >95% | <100 |
| Londonderry | 51% | 47% | 0% | 212 | >95% | <100 |
| Waterford | 42% | 54% | <1% | 212 | >95% | <100 |
| Newbury | 41% | 55% | 1% | 210 | >95% | <100 |
| Guilford | 48% | 49% | 0% | 209 | >95% | <100 |
| Middletown Springs | 44% | 52% | 0% | 209 | >95% | <100 |
| Marshfield | 43% | 51% | 3% | 207 | >95% | <100 |
| Proctor | 43% | 53% | 1% | 206 | >95% | <100 |
| Cavendish | 52% | 44% | 1% | 203 | >95% | <100 |
| Lunenburg | 36% | 61% | 3% | 199 | >95% | <100 |
| West Windsor | 69% | 29% | 1% | 199 | >95% | <100 |
| Dummerston | 58% | 40% | 2% | 193 | >95% | <100 |
| Middlesex | 63% | 31% | 3% | 191 | >95% | <100 |
| Wells | 28% | 67% | 1% | 189 | >95% | <100 |
| Brookfield | 47% | 51% | 1% | 180 | >95% | <100 |
| Salisbury | 51% | 46% | 2% | 178 | >95% | <100 |
| Franklin | 38% | 57% | 2% | 177 | >95% | <100 |
| Shrewsbury | 42% | 54% | 1% | 177 | >95% | <100 |
| Orange | 34% | 61% | 1% | 174 | >95% | <100 |
| Barnet | 39% | 59% | 0% | 170 | >95% | <100 |
| Concord | 25% | 72% | 2% | 170 | >95% | <100 |
| Washington | 39% | 57% | 2% | 169 | >95% | <100 |
| Leicester | 52% | 46% | 2% | 167 | >95% | <100 |
| Barton | 35% | 60% | 1% | 165 | >95% | <100 |
| Fayston | 70% | 25% | 2% | 165 | >95% | <100 |
| Danby | 31% | 68% | 0% | 164 | >95% | <100 |
| Sunderland | 44% | 53% | 0% | 159 | >95% | <100 |
| Whitingham | 34% | 61% | 1% | 158 | >95% | <100 |
| Bethel | 52% | 41% | 3% | 157 | >95% | <100 |
| Newport Town | 39% | 59% | 1% | 157 | >95% | <100 |
| Putney | 54% | 43% | 1% | 157 | >95% | <100 |
| Shoreham | 54% | 43% | 1% | 155 | >95% | <100 |
| Cornwall | 66% | 28% | 1% | 154 | >95% | <100 |
| Barnard | 57% | 39% | 1% | 150 | >95% | <100 |
| Fletcher | 56% | 41% | 0% | 149 | >95% | <100 |
| Bolton | 54% | 42% | 0% | 146 | >95% | <100 |
| Newfane | 50% | 47% | 2% | 145 | >95% | <100 |
| Montgomery | 48% | 48% | 1% | 144 | >95% | <100 |
| Andover | 40% | 57% | 1% | 143 | >95% | <100 |
| Topsham | 34% | 65% | 0% | 143 | >95% | <100 |
| Plainfield | 57% | 36% | 2% | 141 | >95% | <100 |
| Bakersfield | 55% | 38% | 3% | 139 | >95% | <100 |
| Braintree | 51% | 46% | 1% | 138 | >95% | <100 |
| Irasburg | 25% | 69% | 0% | 137 | >95% | <100 |
| Corinth | 46% | 53% | 0% | 135 | >95% | <100 |
| Ryegate | 44% | 52% | 1% | 135 | >95% | <100 |
| Tunbridge | 58% | 39% | 1% | 134 | >95% | <100 |
| Wolcott | 43% | 55% | 0% | 133 | >95% | <100 |
| Dover | 46% | 42% | 3% | 129 | >95% | <100 |
| Groton | 40% | 56% | 0% | 129 | >95% | <100 |
| Calais | 71% | 25% | 1% | 128 | >95% | <100 |
| Isle La Motte | 39% | 58% | 1% | 123 | >95% | <100 |
| Tinmouth | 27% | 67% | 1% | 123 | >95% | <100 |
| Halifax | 31% | 69% | 1% | 121 | >95% | <100 |
| Sutton | 43% | 55% | 0% | 121 | >95% | <100 |
| Rupert | 48% | 50% | 2% | 119 | >95% | <100 |
| Chelsea | 46% | 50% | 2% | 118 | >95% | <100 |
| Lowell | 20% | 75% | 1% | 117 | >95% | <100 |
| Winhall | 53% | 42% | 4% | 114 | >95% | <100 |
| Canaan | 36% | 61% | 1% | 113 | >95% | <100 |
| Rochester | 63% | 36% | 1% | 113 | >95% | <100 |
| Troy | 24% | 72% | 1% | 109 | >95% | <100 |
| Hubbardton | 43% | 53% | 2% | 108 | >95% | <100 |
| Panton | 51% | 42% | 2% | 108 | >95% | <100 |
| Woodbury | 44% | 51% | 2% | 108 | >95% | <100 |
| Morgan | 45% | 55% | 0% | 106 | >95% | <100 |
| Grafton | 46% | 51% | 2% | 105 | >95% | <100 |
| Sudbury | 50% | 43% | 1% | 105 | >95% | <100 |
| Craftsbury | 47% | 49% | 1% | 103 | >95% | <100 |
| Readsboro | 19% | 40% | 2% | 97 | >95% | — |
| Waterville | 38% | 60% | 1% | 96 | >95% | — |
| Fairlee | 65% | 31% | 2% | 95 | >95% | — |
| Worcester | 65% | 32% | 1% | 95 | >95% | — |
| Charleston | 32% | 65% | 1% | 91 | >95% | — |
| Wheelock | 36% | 58% | 2% | 90 | >95% | — |
| Strafford | 82% | 18% | 0% | 89 | >95% | — |
| Eden | 35% | 59% | 0% | 88 | >95% | — |
| Walden | 34% | 63% | 1% | 88 | >95% | — |
| Ira | 36% | 60% | 1% | 86 | >95% | — |
| Albany | 45% | 52% | 0% | 85 | >95% | — |
| Peacham | 66% | 33% | 1% | 85 | >95% | — |
| St. George | 52% | 46% | 1% | 85 | >95% | — |
| Greensboro | 71% | 27% | 0% | 83 | >95% | — |
| Newark | 36% | 63% | 0% | 83 | >95% | — |
| Townshend | 53% | 47% | 0% | 83 | >95% | — |
| Weston | 75% | 21% | 1% | 80 | >95% | — |
| Glover | 62% | 34% | 1% | 79 | >95% | — |
| Sheffield | 27% | 67% | 0% | 78 | >95% | — |
| Brownington | 39% | 61% | 0% | 77 | >95% | — |
| Elmore | 57% | 39% | 3% | 77 | >95% | — |
| West Fairlee | 47% | 51% | 0% | 76 | >95% | — |
| Pittsfield | 65% | 34% | 1% | 74 | >95% | — |
| Wardsboro | 53% | 44% | 0% | 70 | >95% | — |
| Stockbridge | 62% | 20% | 0% | 69 | >95% | — |
| Waltham | 61% | 38% | 0% | 69 | >95% | — |
| Holland | 37% | 62% | 0% | 68 | >95% | — |
| Vershire | 30% | 67% | 1% | 67 | >95% | — |
| Marlboro | 64% | 29% | 5% | 66 | >95% | — |
| Whiting | 39% | 55% | 2% | 66 | >95% | — |
| Windham | 55% | 44% | 2% | 64 | >95% | — |
| Westfield | 46% | 52% | 0% | 63 | >95% | — |
| Jamaica | 57% | 36% | 2% | 61 | >95% | — |
| Maidstone | 60% | 38% | 0% | 60 | >95% | — |
| Kirby | 49% | 49% | 0% | 59 | >95% | — |
| Jay | 22% | 76% | 0% | 58 | >95% | — |
| Athens | 29% | 67% | 2% | 55 | >95% | — |
| Brookline | 40% | 52% | 2% | 52 | >95% | — |
| East Haven | 40% | 56% | 0% | 50 | >95% | — |
| Swanton | 33% | 64% | 1% | 995 | 100% | — |
| Montpelier | 77% | 19% | 2% | 688 | 100% | — |
| Richmond | 68% | 29% | 1% | 629 | 100% | — |
| Woodstock | 66% | 30% | 1% | 493 | 100% | — |
| South Hero | 60% | 38% | 1% | 392 | 100% | — |
| Waitsfield | 64% | 30% | 3% | 292 | 100% | — |
| Killington | 53% | 43% | 2% | 285 | 100% | — |
| Stamford | 22% | 70% | 2% | 255 | 100% | — |
| Moretown | 66% | 31% | 1% | 248 | 100% | — |
| Duxbury | 59% | 38% | 2% | 246 | 100% | — |
| Warren | 77% | 20% | <1% | 227 | 100% | — |
| Lincoln | 62% | 36% | 1% | 211 | 100% | — |
| Bridgewater | 41% | 56% | <1% | 204 | 100% | — |
| Pomfret | 59% | 34% | 2% | 177 | 100% | — |
| Roxbury | 42% | 54% | 1% | 149 | 100% | — |
| Reading | 60% | 35% | 1% | 136 | 100% | — |
| Sharon | 49% | 47% | 2% | 131 | 100% | — |
| Plymouth | 53% | 46% | 2% | 120 | 100% | — |
| Coventry | 25% | 69% | 1% | 110 | 100% | — |
| Weybridge | 72% | 23% | 1% | 103 | 100% | — |
| Ripton | 56% | 43% | 1% | 95 | 100% | — |
| Sandgate | 46% | 46% | 5% | 59 | 100% | — |
| West Haven | 41% | 57% | 0% | 49 | No data— | — |
| Guildhall | 44% | 56% | 0% | 48 | No data— | — |
| Westmore | 49% | 47% | 2% | 47 | No data— | — |
| Norton | 29% | 69% | 0% | 45 | No data— | — |
| Goshen | 36% | 57% | 7% | 44 | No data— | — |
| Bloomfield | 16% | 81% | 2% | 43 | No data— | — |
| Peru | 78% | 22% | 0% | 41 | No data— | — |
| Belvidere | 53% | 43% | 0% | 40 | No data— | — |
| Victory | 15% | 75% | 3% | 40 | No data— | — |
| Baltimore | 37% | 55% | 0% | 38 | No data— | — |
| Mount Tabor | 44% | 44% | 6% | 36 | No data— | — |
| Woodford | 40% | 60% | 0% | 35 | No data— | — |
| Hanco*ck | 41% | 59% | 0% | 34 | No data— | — |
| Stratton | 29% | 68% | 0% | 28 | No data— | — |
| Brunswick | 42% | 58% | 0% | 24 | No data— | — |
| Landgrove | 91% | 9% | 0% | 23 | No data— | — |
| Granville | 45% | 50% | 0% | 22 | No data— | — |
| Granby | 35% | 60% | 0% | 20 | No data— | — |
| Searsburg | 15% | 85% | 0% | 20 | No data— | — |
| Lemington | 67% | 28% | 0% | 18 | No data— | — |
| Stannard | 87% | 13% | 0% | 15 | No data— | — |
We stopped updating our estimates for Vermont at 11 p.m. Eastern on March 5. These graphics and estimates are now showing archived data.
Live forecast
This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.
Chance of winning
Haley wins
Estimated margin
Haley +4.0
Haley +2 to Haley +5
Live forecast
This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.
Chance of winning
Haley wins
Estimated margin
Haley +4.0
Haley +2 to Haley +5
Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley
This chart shows the range of estimates for the leading candidates’ shares of the final vote. As more votes are reported, the ranges should narrow as our statistical model becomes more confident.
How our estimates changed over time
Once a state has counted all its votes, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new data, our forecast is more trustworthy.
Est. margin
Best guess
50% of outcomes
95%
How our final margin estimate has changed so far
NYT estimate Reported vote share
Chance of winning
Share of expected turnout reported
What’s powering our forecast right now?
Our election model makes use of three indicators in creating an estimate of the final result.
Pre-election polls
0%
Our model
0%
Actual results
100%
- Pre-election polls: At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, results of past elections and demographic data.
- Our model: As results come in, we compare actual results in places that have mostly completed reporting to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model for the remaining vote.
- Actual results: As a county reports more of its vote, those actual results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.
Share of vote by town
What to expect
Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern time. In the 2022 state primaries, first results were reported 21 minutes later, and the last update of the night was at 2:16 a.m. Eastern time with 96.4 percent of votes reported.
Voters do not register by party, but they could only participate in one party’s primary. The state offers no-excuse early absentee voting, and ballots were due by the close of polls.
The state primary, which will include races for state and congressional offices, will be held on Aug. 13.
Sign up to get notified when results are in. The On Politics newsletter is your guide to the 2024 elections. Get it sent to your inbox.
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